Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 11.304161 13.034478 14.883767 17.000868 19.350916 21.872975 24.777570
2025-02-16 8.593781 10.760427 13.223665 16.209861 19.709475 23.657972 28.425800
2025-02-23 7.012804 9.421587 12.306180 15.970970 20.455704 25.716621 32.302377
2025-03-02 5.763723 8.263310 11.401477 15.557860 20.838990 27.243140 35.505685
2025-03-09 4.894633 7.447714 10.792905 15.389720 21.424216 28.952170 38.914387
2025-03-16 4.122520 6.648987 10.098702 15.007450 21.650208 30.155017 41.671657
2025-03-23 3.640852 6.187949 9.795688 15.088057 22.439410 32.061063 45.343599
2025-03-30 3.196604 5.721774 9.428947 15.028811 23.002245 33.655679 48.627829
2025-04-06 2.882313 5.412447 9.250683 15.203521 23.868153 35.657107 52.485224
2025-04-13 2.607573 5.130633 9.081054 15.363481 24.698835 37.616535 56.322777
2025-04-20 2.429564 4.985872 9.102843 15.796332 25.923196 40.141775 60.986980
2025-04-27 2.242025 4.801484 9.041878 16.088623 26.939980 42.393355 65.320241
2025-05-04 2.012420 4.518249 8.800654 16.087860 27.523896 44.057065 68.896100
2025-05-11 1.693231 4.027730 8.169805 15.419929 27.054009 44.171446 70.264935
2025-05-18 1.492159 3.735717 7.849124 15.226189 27.290504 45.305747 73.104134
2025-05-25 1.288077 3.408420 7.434659 14.842800 27.199742 45.936518 75.211766
2025-06-01 1.139423 3.175066 7.167505 14.686600 27.453532 47.078011 78.081602
2025-06-08 0.982970 2.900474 6.796505 14.320621 27.340543 47.644937 80.098158
2025-06-15 0.894326 2.766732 6.682481 14.399216 27.955859 49.340268 83.834200
2025-06-22 0.800847 2.606973 6.501868 14.342512 28.335534 50.670906 87.040119
2025-06-29 0.738226 2.513757 6.446784 14.511007 29.098521 52.618341 91.223269
2025-07-06 0.679952 2.422630 6.387400 14.665212 29.837865 54.541579 95.404240
2025-07-13 0.648192 2.397415 6.464882 15.082406 31.045969 57.241420 100.838954